Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.004054 0.004545 0.005096 0.005767 0.006569 0.007505 0.008695
2026-01-11 0.003341 0.003959 0.004711 0.005714 0.007043 0.008788 0.011333
2026-01-18 0.002945 0.003620 0.004489 0.005724 0.007494 0.010044 0.014219
2026-01-25 0.002619 0.003306 0.004226 0.005597 0.007684 0.010925 0.016787
2026-02-01 0.002339 0.003010 0.003937 0.005369 0.007656 0.011431 0.018870
2026-02-08 0.002113 0.002762 0.003680 0.005144 0.007575 0.011809 0.020827
2026-02-15 0.002000 0.002661 0.003621 0.005207 0.007968 0.013095 0.025151
2026-02-22 0.001865 0.002515 0.003477 0.005110 0.008060 0.013832 0.028587
2026-03-01 0.001739 0.002369 0.003320 0.004970 0.008045 0.014344 0.031722
2026-03-08 0.001635 0.002250 0.003193 0.004865 0.008077 0.014960 0.035506
2026-03-15 0.001590 0.002217 0.003200 0.004993 0.008585 0.016788 0.044305
2026-03-22 0.001554 0.002196 0.003222 0.005148 0.009176 0.019016 0.056659
2026-03-29 0.001492 0.002133 0.003179 0.005195 0.009587 0.021054 0.071494
2026-04-05 0.001420 0.002050 0.003095 0.005155 0.009803 0.022678 0.087368
2026-04-12 0.001362 0.001987 0.003040 0.005165 0.010139 0.024835 0.111144
2026-04-19 0.001293 0.001899 0.002933 0.005055 0.010159 0.025988 0.131488
2026-04-26 0.001217 0.001796 0.002791 0.004857 0.009919 0.026155 0.144884
2026-05-03 0.001147 0.001700 0.002656 0.004661 0.009652 0.026144 0.157553
2026-05-10 0.001116 0.001669 0.002638 0.004716 0.010075 0.029021 0.215400
2026-05-17 0.001070 0.001608 0.002562 0.004632 0.010094 0.030280 0.261360
2026-05-24 0.001022 0.001543 0.002471 0.004509 0.009982 0.030939 0.304240
2026-05-31 0.000981 0.001488 0.002398 0.004417 0.009947 0.031970 0.367233
2026-06-07 0.000967 0.001479 0.002412 0.004529 0.010556 0.036596 0.607465